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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+6.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+1.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+1.46vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+0.91vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33-1.73vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.69vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02+0.30vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77+0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.55-0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10-0.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.39-1.65vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.09-5.05vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.20-2.98vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.37-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.04Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.69George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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13.35Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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14.02Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.25Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 21.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Allison Volk | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.