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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+5.72vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+5.09vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+3.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.47vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+3.01vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16-0.05vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.39+1.67vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-3.91vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.77+2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.26-0.61vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.53vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.39+0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.55-1.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.67vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.49-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.52-1.22vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.37-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.4College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.95Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.09Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.17Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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7.33Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.03Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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13.24Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.5% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.4% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Morgan Carew | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.1% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 47.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.