← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.28+5.67vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.86+6.20vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.92+1.61vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.04+3.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.16+0.98vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.33-0.68vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.70-2.90vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.02+2.13vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University0.49+3.15vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.26-0.62vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.03-4.34vs Predicted
-
13Boston University0.39+0.17vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan-0.52+1.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami0.55-2.22vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.77-3.86vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.37-3.48vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University1.39-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.67Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
8.2Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
4.61Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.27College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.8University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
6.98Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.32Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.1Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
11.13Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
13.15Old Dominion University0.490.0%1st Place
-
10.38University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.66Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
13.17Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
-
15.53University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.78University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.14Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.52Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.57George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 10.3% |
| Morgan Carew | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 44.5% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 12.9% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.