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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+5.69vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+3.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+7.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+4.99vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16-0.05vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.04-0.75vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-2.82vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-2.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.35vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.20+0.74vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.37-1.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.39-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.55-4.07vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.10-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.25Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.95Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.25College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.99George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.74Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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13.43Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.42Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Allison Volk | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Laura Smith | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.