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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+8.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-0.52vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+0.93vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02+3.05vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.69vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.72vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-2.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.35vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.20+0.78vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.39-0.95vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.55-2.16vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.73-3.74vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-3.45vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.10-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.93Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.69George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.28Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.78Old Dominion University0.200.0%1st Place
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13.05Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Miami0.550.0%1st Place
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12.26Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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13.55Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.0% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Allison Volk | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 21.2% |
| Madeline Stull | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
| Marina Geilen | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.