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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.82vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.15vs Predicted
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32.64+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.05vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.11-3.24vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.58vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-5.26vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.20vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.37vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-4.53vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.19-1.39vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.24-5.04vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.082.640.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.58Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.74Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.47North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.61SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Dana Haig | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 40.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 21.6% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.