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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+3.61vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.89+5.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-1.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.43+5.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.33vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.38vs Predicted
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122.64-5.90vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-3.18vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.37vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-6.34vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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5.89Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.05University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.62North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.12.640.1%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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13.77SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 30.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.