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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.12vs Predicted
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22.64+4.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.68vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11+0.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-0.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.82vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+3.88vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.44vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.52vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.99vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-6.09vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-3.50vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.26vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.35vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.76vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.112.640.1%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.81Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.5North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.74SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 6.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 31.5% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.