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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.72vs Predicted
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22.64+4.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.68vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+4.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.11-2.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-0.50vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-0.49vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.10vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.24-2.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-1.99vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-5.09vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.082.640.1%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.92Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.55North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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13.74SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 28.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.