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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.73vs Predicted
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42.64+2.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-0.19vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.36vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24+1.75vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.65-0.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.23vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.30vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.41vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.73Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.272.640.1%1st Place
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4.81Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.75University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.44North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.75SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 22.4% | 31.3% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.