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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.10vs Predicted
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22.64+4.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+1.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+0.88vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+0.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89+1.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.70vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-1.39vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.43+0.09vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-3.17vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-5.55vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.13vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.19-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.062.640.1%1st Place
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4.69Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.88Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.95Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Grace Gear | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 30.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.