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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.79vs Predicted
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22.64+4.08vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+6.50vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.68vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-1.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.19+6.71vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-3.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-2.85vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.18vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24-1.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.16vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.79vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.082.640.1%1st Place
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9.5North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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13.71SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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4.86Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.68Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 40.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Grace Gear | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 31.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.