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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.67vs Predicted
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22.64+4.08vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11+0.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+1.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.19vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.60vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.34vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-3.36vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.24-2.18vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-4.54vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.19-1.38vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.082.640.1%1st Place
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5.93Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.46North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.62SUNY Maritime College0.190.0%1st Place
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9.86Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Green | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Runyan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 39.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 22.1% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.