Race 12A

women-acc-series-round-1a

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sarah Burn 6.4% 8.6% 7.3% 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 7.9% 7.0% 8.8% 6.7% 8.5% 5.2% 4.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Emily Bornarth 7.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.5% 5.3% 3.6% 1.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Eva Blauvelt 7.9% 6.5% 8.5% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 8.9% 5.9% 6.1% 3.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Colleen O'Brien 13.6% 15.1% 11.3% 11.7% 11.4% 8.4% 7.5% 7.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.3% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 5.4% 6.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.0% 8.4% 10.7% 8.1% 8.4% 3.2%
Dana Haig 8.9% 8.4% 11.1% 12.3% 6.1% 8.7% 9.4% 7.7% 6.3% 6.8% 4.9% 3.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Grace Gear 5.4% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.3% 7.1% 6.3% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 9.5% 7.9% 7.2% 5.1% 1.6%
Hannah Freeman 16.9% 14.7% 12.2% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 7.3% 6.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bridget Green 11.1% 9.7% 9.7% 9.0% 11.2% 8.3% 9.3% 6.7% 7.0% 6.1% 3.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Heather Kerns 2.6% 3.1% 2.8% 2.2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 5.3% 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 11.8% 13.7% 13.1% 7.2%
Elizabeth Cutler 4.3% 3.5% 4.5% 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 5.4% 8.4% 10.0% 10.2% 10.7% 8.1% 4.0%
Marissa Tegeder 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 8.2% 11.6% 20.6% 30.3%
Olivia Sowa 2.9% 2.7% 4.4% 6.0% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 8.5% 10.6% 9.0% 8.4% 9.3% 6.7% 3.1%
Rebecca Runyan 0.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 7.4% 10.2% 18.3% 40.0%
Emma Shakespeare 2.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.3% 7.2% 7.3% 9.3% 11.5% 13.9% 11.2% 8.7%
Madison Bashaw 4.9% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 6.9% 6.8% 8.8% 9.0% 7.7% 7.4% 8.0% 5.6% 3.8% 2.9% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.