Race 13A

women-acc-series-round-1a

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Dana Haig 11.3% 10.5% 11.4% 10.3% 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 8.1% 8.1% 4.3% 4.0% 3.0% 0.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Bridget Green 11.5% 11.2% 12.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.1% 8.3% 8.0% 4.7% 6.3% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Hannah Freeman 16.5% 16.0% 14.5% 10.5% 11.8% 9.1% 6.6% 5.8% 4.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 8.8% 8.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.0% 7.7% 9.9% 8.9% 7.1% 7.5% 5.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Colleen O'Brien 15.7% 14.5% 11.5% 13.4% 11.6% 8.4% 7.5% 5.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.2% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.6% 10.0% 11.6% 14.1% 11.5% 7.4%
Sarah Burn 7.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.2% 8.0% 9.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.9% 7.0% 3.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Eva Blauvelt 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.3% 9.0% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 7.1% 7.1% 4.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 6.4% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.1% 10.4% 10.8% 8.6% 9.6% 7.8% 2.1%
Emma Shakespeare 2.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 12.3% 13.6% 13.1% 8.0%
Olivia Sowa 3.6% 4.8% 3.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.9% 8.3% 11.5% 9.9% 7.8% 3.6%
Grace Gear 3.9% 3.9% 5.4% 6.1% 8.0% 6.0% 6.4% 7.7% 9.9% 9.7% 10.5% 8.8% 8.1% 4.3% 1.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 3.7% 5.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.0% 8.4% 11.1% 12.4% 9.7% 10.1% 4.3%
Marissa Tegeder 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.0% 4.0% 4.4% 6.6% 8.1% 11.4% 21.2% 31.0%
Rebecca Runyan 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 1.4% 3.4% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 6.8% 11.3% 18.3% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.