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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+6.59vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91-0.77vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46+3.01vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-1.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.81vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95+1.85vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.72vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.00-0.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-0.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.28vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.77-2.58vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-6.78vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.27-3.02vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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3.17Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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4.23Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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9.01North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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5.66Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.8% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.7% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 28.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.