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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.51vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39-0.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+0.55vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00+4.68vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.27+5.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65-0.67vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86-0.98vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-1.91vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.31vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.77-4.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy0.86-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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3.28Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.55Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.0%1st Place
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10.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.93North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.69SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.5% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.9% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Brook Wood | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 32.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.