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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+7.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+2.96vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40+5.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91+2.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92+1.40vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+2.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-1.26vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.03vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-1.82vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.35-3.43vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-4.70vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-2.47vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.75-8.63vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.06vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Harvard University3.1812.2%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.224.8%1st Place
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5.96Stanford University3.3011.8%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.405.9%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy2.283.9%1st Place
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8.09Brown University2.917.3%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.926.5%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College2.384.5%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.323.6%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.685.3%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.5%1st Place
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10.18Boston College2.563.9%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University2.354.9%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston2.385.5%1st Place
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12.53University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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11.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.772.8%1st Place
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11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.052.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 19.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.