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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.93vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.86+1.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.65+0.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.86+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.27+1.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.71vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.97vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.16vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.00-5.22vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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3.28Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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4.47Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.74Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.650.1%1st Place
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11.14Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.78Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.24North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.3% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 13.3% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 21.4% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
| Brook Wood | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 32.8% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.