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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+3.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+3.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.24vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+1.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+5.90vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.47vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+3.90vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46+0.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57+1.97vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.84vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.86-1.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-3.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.27-2.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.86-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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3.24Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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5.76Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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8.79North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.69Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.7% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lily Flack | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 34.6% |
| Brook Wood | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.