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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.53vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+1.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.86+5.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.95+4.97vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+3.63vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-4.77vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+2.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.90vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-1.92vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-6.36vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-5.41vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.00-3.30vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.27-2.98vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.31Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.97Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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11.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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9.08North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Brook Wood | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.7% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.2% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.