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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+2.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+2.05vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+5.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+3.73vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.81vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.86+0.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.13vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-3.13vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-7.26vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.02vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.27-2.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-5.20vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.02-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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4.17Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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8.87North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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5.74Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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10.8Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.85SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.5% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| Brook Wood | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.