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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.07vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+3.60vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+0.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+0.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86+5.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.29-0.98vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46+0.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95+1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.86+0.96vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.86-4.55vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-0.90vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.27-0.94vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-4.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.18vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.00-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.33Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.72North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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10.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 24.8% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Lily Flack | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 21.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 29.9% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.