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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+3.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47+2.15vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46+4.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.12vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.44vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+3.58vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.91-4.07vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-3.24vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.77+0.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.86-2.17vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-3.39vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.27-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.63North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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10.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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3.93Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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5.76Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.2University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.54SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Lily Flack | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 21.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 10.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 30.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.