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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+7.39vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+3.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.29+2.65vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77+4.07vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.47-2.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.90vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.00+0.16vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95-0.43vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.62vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.27-1.11vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-4.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-4.12vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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4.06Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.62SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 17.7% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 31.1% |
| Lily Flack | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.