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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+1.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.29+1.76vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+0.51vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.77+4.06vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+1.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-6.09vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-0.30vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-2.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.27-3.21vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.8Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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3.91Boston College2.910.2%1st Place
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8.67North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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13.54SUNY Maritime College-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Rhode Island0.270.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Lily Flack | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 19.5% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 30.4% |
| Elizabeth Taylor | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 18.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.