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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+6.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+6.39vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.35+5.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.91+2.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38+1.59vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.30-3.80vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-0.96vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-4.42vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.22-3.68vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.28-5.07vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.68-7.20vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-5.57vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.42-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Harvard University3.1810.4%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.926.3%1st Place
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9.39Georgetown University2.405.2%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University2.356.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.918.6%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
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12.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.5%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.384.7%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.383.6%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University3.3010.7%1st Place
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10.04Boston College2.564.2%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.757.6%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.225.5%1st Place
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11.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.773.5%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.284.7%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.685.5%1st Place
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11.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.052.5%1st Place
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12.24University of Rhode Island1.423.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 17.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.