← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Hoogenboom 15.4% 18.4% 18.2% 17.1% 13.5% 10.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 39.1% 27.3% 17.0% 10.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grayson Berrier 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 3.3% 5.6% 5.9% 11.1% 19.2% 26.3% 23.6%
Johnny Perkins 18.4% 23.7% 20.1% 17.5% 11.0% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Blake Daniel 12.9% 12.9% 18.8% 19.8% 15.5% 10.8% 6.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Xavier Shattuck 2.6% 3.6% 3.0% 6.4% 8.4% 12.3% 17.7% 17.8% 18.0% 10.2%
Trevin Brown 4.1% 6.2% 9.4% 12.2% 16.8% 18.9% 16.4% 10.1% 3.9% 2.0%
Jake Tipper 1.9% 2.4% 4.3% 4.6% 8.5% 13.0% 14.2% 21.2% 19.5% 10.4%
William Rux 3.5% 3.6% 6.0% 7.1% 12.9% 17.2% 19.4% 16.5% 9.6% 4.2%
Charles Federico 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 10.4% 21.2% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.