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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samantha Bialek 13.6% 16.5% 18.7% 22.1% 19.5% 7.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Jake Montjoy 6.4% 9.9% 15.3% 20.5% 25.2% 16.4% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Gavin Valentine 32.7% 26.9% 20.9% 11.8% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 33.5% 27.0% 20.1% 11.9% 6.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ringel 10.0% 15.6% 16.3% 20.6% 21.9% 10.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0%
Gregory Gold 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 5.9% 7.8% 26.7% 26.4% 17.0% 9.9%
Noah Shore 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 12.5% 21.6% 30.0% 26.2%
Garrett Holt 0.7% 0.8% 2.2% 2.7% 4.7% 14.4% 23.1% 24.5% 26.9%
Mason Bhola 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 2.3% 4.2% 9.3% 18.8% 25.5% 36.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.