Race 3B

tiger-town

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samantha Bialek 13.0% 16.8% 17.6% 18.5% 15.5% 11.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Gavin Valentine 30.2% 26.9% 21.1% 12.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Montjoy 9.4% 9.3% 12.6% 15.0% 20.5% 19.1% 9.8% 4.0% 0.1% 0.2%
Matthew Simpson 4.0% 5.2% 6.7% 12.5% 16.8% 21.4% 19.1% 9.6% 3.8% 0.9%
Ryan Ringel 9.9% 12.5% 15.9% 18.3% 19.1% 14.3% 5.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Rowan Barnes 30.5% 25.7% 20.1% 13.2% 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gregory Gold 1.5% 0.9% 2.3% 3.8% 6.1% 11.2% 21.7% 24.6% 18.6% 9.3%
Mason Bhola 0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 5.9% 10.4% 16.8% 25.3% 35.0%
Garrett Holt 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 4.0% 5.6% 13.6% 20.2% 26.0% 25.7%
Noah Shore 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.7% 2.6% 5.9% 13.5% 18.8% 25.1% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.