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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.80vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+5.89vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.20vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.99+3.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.60vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.72vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.95vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.97+3.16vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.43vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18+0.45vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01+0.31vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.10-5.54vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.86vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-8.88vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.91-3.46vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.75-3.85vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.22-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.16Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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13.14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.54Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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6.92Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Adam Larson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 21.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
| Reed Weston | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.