Race 5A

old-guard

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Thomas Barrows 16.9% 16.0% 15.0% 11.7% 9.5% 7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 4.0% 2.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pellegrini 6.1% 8.0% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.8% 8.2% 7.4% 7.1% 7.0% 4.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Anne Haeger 12.1% 8.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.1% 10.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Halsey Richartz 4.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 6.8% 6.0% 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.4% 9.6% 8.9% 8.9% 7.1% 3.6% 0.4%
Fred Strammer 10.0% 11.6% 11.8% 11.4% 9.4% 9.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 4.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Vincent Andrews 2.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 6.3% 9.7% 11.2% 14.7% 14.8% 4.3%
Massimo Soriano 5.9% 5.8% 5.1% 5.4% 6.8% 6.1% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 7.4% 8.4% 8.6% 7.5% 6.8% 3.2% 0.4%
Alan Palmer 12.3% 12.3% 11.5% 10.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.9% 7.0% 5.6% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Krysta Rohde 3.5% 4.3% 3.4% 5.0% 4.0% 4.8% 7.2% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 11.9% 5.9% 1.6%
Andrew Sommer 6.1% 5.5% 7.9% 6.4% 6.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.8% 9.4% 8.3% 7.1% 6.4% 6.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.6%
Rebecca Dellenbaugh 6.9% 5.9% 5.4% 6.2% 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.6% 7.7% 9.6% 9.3% 7.1% 7.4% 4.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Gary Herring 3.9% 4.4% 3.7% 5.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.3% 8.0% 6.6% 6.3% 7.9% 8.2% 9.5% 10.1% 7.2% 0.8%
Brendan Hannon 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 5.7% 4.5% 6.9% 7.6% 10.6% 11.9% 13.7% 14.2% 3.6%
Johnny Norfleet 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 9.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Kelly Cooke 1.2% 1.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.4% 4.4% 6.3% 9.1% 12.8% 32.5% 14.2%
Michael Weigand 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 5.2% 11.0% 73.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.