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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.47vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+7.32vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+4.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.73+1.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.64vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49+1.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98+1.77vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.57+2.91vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.32-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Texas1.01+0.92vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.03-3.30vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.60-3.47vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.20-6.40vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.09-4.02vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.59-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Stanford University3.1512.8%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University2.104.8%1st Place
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7.28Georgetown University2.408.8%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.7313.9%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.6%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.387.2%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston2.496.2%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.984.5%1st Place
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11.91North Carolina State University1.572.6%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Miami2.324.2%1st Place
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13.92University of Texas1.011.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida1.603.3%1st Place
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9.6Boston College2.204.6%1st Place
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12.98University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University1.593.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Matias Martin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 27.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 19.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.