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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+7.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+6.16vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+6.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+1.87vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+4.37vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.38+4.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.73vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.18-1.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-1.50vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.35-0.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-1.15vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-2.96vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-4.41vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.49vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-2.94vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.96vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.35vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.42-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Yale University2.925.9%1st Place
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8.16Brown University2.916.6%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston2.385.9%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University3.3011.7%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.383.5%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.285.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University3.1811.4%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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9.51Tulane University2.354.3%1st Place
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9.85Boston College2.564.2%1st Place
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9.04Georgetown University2.406.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.686.1%1st Place
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13.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.762.0%1st Place
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12.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.772.5%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.932.6%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Rhode Island1.422.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 26.8% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
| Maks Groom | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.