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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+8.86vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+5.28vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+3.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+2.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+2.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.27vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+5.67vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35+1.68vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+1.64vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97+1.24vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01+0.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.40vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-7.92vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-7.93vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-6.11vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-7.34vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.75-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.54College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.24Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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13.67Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.64Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.24Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.42North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.6SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 25.4% |
| Owen Timms | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% |
| Adam Larson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.