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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.90vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+9.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+3.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93+2.17vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+6.71vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.08vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18+2.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+0.07vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.55vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.83vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.97-2.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-7.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.62-6.39vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.75-3.79vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.31North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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13.71Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.93Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Adam Larson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Mais | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 25.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Reed Weston | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 21.5% |
| Owen Timms | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.