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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+6.45vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.22vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10-0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+0.53vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-1.70vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.16vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-3.98vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.75-0.14vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.61vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-3.67vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-3.82vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.97-4.60vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.54-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.3Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.33Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.18North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.4Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.66Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Scott Mais | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Reed Weston | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 19.7% |
| Owen Timms | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Adam Larson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.