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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+11.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+7.05vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+2.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+3.57vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.69vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54+4.76vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+1.66vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.97+1.30vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.10-4.09vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-5.09vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.93-6.06vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-4.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.31vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.77vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.75-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.24North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.75SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.76Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.3Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 25.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Scott Mais | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Owen Timms | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Reed Weston | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.