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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.59vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+10.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+8.42vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.75+8.65vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+3.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.02vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10+0.43vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-0.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.22vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-1.33vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-4.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.85vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-8.14vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University2.01-3.19vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.54-2.33vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-3.57vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.59Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.31Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.86Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.81North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.67Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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13.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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7.41SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Reed Weston | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| Scott Mais | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 24.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 22.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.