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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+6.62vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+10.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.85vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+7.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+3.08vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.470.00vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+4.15vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.75+4.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.62+0.42vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.99-1.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.79vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.03vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.92vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-6.72vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.05vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.37vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.54-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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12.37Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.68North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.15Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.09Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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13.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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13.48Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Adam Larson | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% |
| Scott Mais | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Reed Weston | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 17.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 21.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.