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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+6.84vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.53vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+5.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10+0.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.93-0.84vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-4.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-3.98vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.75-0.13vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.54-0.50vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-4.36vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.97-3.67vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University2.01-4.77vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.4Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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13.5Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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12.33Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.23North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Scott Mais | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 19.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 23.9% |
| Owen Timms | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Adam Larson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.