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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+9.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+5.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+6.88vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.33vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.97+6.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47-0.81vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+2.73vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.27vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.93-1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.15vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.99-3.55vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-1.70vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.91-1.78vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-8.69vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.01-3.80vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.07-9.11vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.75-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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12.3Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.73SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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12.22Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.2North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Owen Timms | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Scott Mais | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.