← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.52vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.57+8.01vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.93vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.10vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University2.01+6.96vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.10+1.59vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.07+0.65vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.62+1.52vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.47-2.94vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.03vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.93-2.52vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.18-0.21vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.42-6.79vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University1.97-2.08vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute1.91-2.54vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.35-5.17vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University2.77-7.94vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.75-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.01Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
7.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
11.96North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
7.59College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.52Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
-
6.06Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.48Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.79Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
6.21Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.92Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
-
12.46Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.83George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.06Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
-
12.93University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Adam Larson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Scott Mais | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.1% |
| Owen Timms | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Justin Lim | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.