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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+11.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+8.09vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+6.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.29vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.67vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+6.58vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.93+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.75+4.96vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-2.95vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.64vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-1.25vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.10-4.02vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.97-0.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-4.93vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.07-7.39vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.18-4.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.21vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.24North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.21Stanford University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.29Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.67SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.58Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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12.96University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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12.04Florida State University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.51Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Justin Lim | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% |
| Scott Mais | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Reed Weston | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 21.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Owen Timms | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.