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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+8.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+4.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+5.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+3.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.47vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.62+1.54vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-1.89vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.80vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.40-5.31vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-0.34vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.69-0.85vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.38-4.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.19-4.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.43-6.61vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-2.66vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.33-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.47George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.15Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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9.27Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.44North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Edward Cook | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 30.9% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.