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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+6.27vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.62+6.75vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+3.30vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+2.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+4.23vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.19+4.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.40-1.45vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.14vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35-0.17vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.91-3.51vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-0.21vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.69-0.80vs Predicted
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14Florida State University2.38-4.74vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-3.64vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-5.10vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-2.61vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.33-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.34SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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5.55Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.2Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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9.26Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.9Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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13.41North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Cook | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Abe Weston | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 31.3% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.