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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.90+10.58vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+4.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.62+4.43vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.06vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+3.62vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38+2.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.78vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.17+4.28vs Predicted
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112.64-2.45vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.69+0.53vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.07-6.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.40-8.65vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.93-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-1.76vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.19-6.62vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.23-12.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.58George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.51Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.78Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.28North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.552.640.1%1st Place
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12.53Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Edward Cook | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 28.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Abe Weston | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 29.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.