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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+8.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.11vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+1.46vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69+7.07vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.79vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.17+7.03vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.07-1.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43+0.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.62-1.20vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.19-0.59vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.90-0.26vs Predicted
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132.64-4.70vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.91-6.91vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-8.90vs Predicted
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16Florida State University2.38-6.43vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-5.56vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.11-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.07Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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10.79Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.03North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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6.65Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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11.74George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.32.640.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.44Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 27.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Edward Cook | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.