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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+5.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.34vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.90+7.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+0.54vs Predicted
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62.64+2.46vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-0.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.09+2.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.13vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.69+2.57vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.17+3.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.19-1.33vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.38-3.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.48vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.62-6.51vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.35-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.11-2.65vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.462.640.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.57Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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14.12North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.39Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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14.35University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 14.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 11.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 28.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Edward Cook | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 31.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.