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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+4.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+5.65vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+3.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+4.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.90+5.39vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.38+2.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.20vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.69+3.22vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.09+0.89vs Predicted
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112.64-2.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.43-2.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-7.57vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.77-2.40vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.02vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.11-1.71vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.17-2.85vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.19-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.47College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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11.39George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.48Florida State University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.22Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.572.640.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.6Webb Institute1.770.0%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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14.15North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.05SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Abe Weston | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 29.6% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 27.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.