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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+7.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+7.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+5.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18+0.79vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.75+1.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.80vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.40+0.97vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38+1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.35vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.30vs Predicted
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121.42+1.45vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-3.34vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-3.05vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.68-6.36vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.35-6.59vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.30-11.10vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Yale University2.926.9%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.225.7%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.917.2%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.3%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.1812.8%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.758.0%1st Place
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11.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.933.0%1st Place
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8.97Georgetown University2.405.7%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College2.384.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.284.5%1st Place
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13.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.761.9%1st Place
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13.451.421.7%1st Place
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9.66Boston College2.564.5%1st Place
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10.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.8%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.685.8%1st Place
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9.41Tulane University2.355.1%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University3.3011.0%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston2.385.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 23.8% |
| Henry Lee | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 25.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.